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Divided stock markets, oil falls again

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(New York) Volatility remained in global markets on Tuesday, as Wall Street nevertheless managed to support Western indices on the eve of a rate announcement from the US Federal Reserve, while oil continued to fall.

At half mast on Monday, Wall Street rose vigorously: the NASDAQ technology index gained 2.92%, the broader S&P 500 index +2.14% and the Dow Jones +1.82%.

In Europe, the indices ended slightly lower, recovering most of their losses from the start of the session. Paris lost 0.23%, Frankfurt 0.09%, and London 0.25%. Milan rose 0.31%.

European markets were particularly driven in the morning by the fall in Chinese stocks. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange plunged by 5.72% and that of Shanghai by 4.95%, undermined by the announcement of new confinements, in particular in the technological capital Shenzhen.

These confinements in one of the main raw material importing countries had brutal consequences on the crude oil market.

North Sea Brent crude for May delivery closed below $100 on Tuesday for the first time since the second day of the invasion of Ukraine almost three weeks ago.

The reference price for this variety of oil fell 6.53%, to end at 99.91 dollars, while the barrel of American West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for delivery in April fell 6.37%, to $96.44.

Lower commodity prices “could reduce the strength of headwinds in the global economy,” including already very high inflation in the United States and Europe, said Oanda analyst Craig Erlam.

The pace of inflation is at the heart of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting which began on Tuesday and whose conclusions will be released on Wednesday at 6:00 p.m. GMT.

The Fed should raise its key rate to fight inflation, to its highest since 1982. After spending two years at a very low level of 0 to 0.25% to support the economy, it should experience a first increase, probably towards a range of 0.25 to 0.50%.

Wholesale price inflation in the United States (PPI index), published on Tuesday, remained stable over one year in February at 10%, but slowed down over one month to +0.8%, surprising analysts.

After a sharp rise on Monday, interest rates on government bonds remained at a high level: 2.15% for the 10-year US loan.

Investors, however, remain very attentive to news of the war in Ukraine.

Russian and Ukrainian delegations resumed their talks on Tuesday, as Russian strikes increase on Kyiv and the Russian offensive spreads across the country.

The luxury touched

As China is one of the main markets for luxury companies, the authorities’ containment measures raise fears of a drop in revenues for the sector.

In Paris, LVMH lost 1.45% and Hermès 3.13%. In Zurich, Richemont dropped 3.39%. In Milan, Tod’s lost 2.64%, Salvatore Ferragamo 3.78%.

Separately, the European Union on Tuesday banned the export to Russia of its luxury sedans, champagne, jewelry and other items prized by the elites who support President Putin, in order to punish their lavish lifestyle during the war waged in Russia. Ukraine.

Air travel regains confidence, not airports

Major US airlines on Tuesday raised their revenue outlook for the current quarter and said strong demand for plane tickets was offsetting higher fuel prices.

American Airlines (+9.26%), United Airlines (+9.19%), Delta Air Lines (+8.70%) all announced a stronger increase in their upcoming revenues.

In Europe, the trend was less but EasyJet (+3.28%), IAG, parent company of British Airways (+1.04%) or Air France-KLM (+1.04%) progressed.

Conversely, the title of the operator of Frankfurt airport fell by 2.92%, after forecasts deemed disappointing for the current financial year. Aéroports de Paris lost 0.68%.

On the side of the euro and bitcoin

Around 8 p.m. GMT, the euro climbed 0.02% to 1.0942 dollars for one euro,

Bitcoin rose 2.07% to $39,527.



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